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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 051200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/09/2005 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/09/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1001 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.5S / 86.4E
(FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 13 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/09/06 AT 00 UTC:
5.9S / 84.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/09/06 AT 12 UTC:
7.2S / 83.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
INTENSITY OF THESE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.