Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 051800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/09/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/09/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 86.0E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDS MAINLY UP TO 450 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/09/06 AT 06 UTC: 6.0S / 85.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/09/06 AT 18 UTC: 7.7S / 83.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS CLEARLY DISORGANIZED DURING THE AFTERNOON SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS INTENSIFYING SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.