Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 060000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/09/2005 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 06/09/2005 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.9S / 85.6E (FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER MAINLY LOCATED WITHIN THE SOUTHTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/09/06 AT 12 UTC: 7.0S / 84.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/09/07 AT 00 UTC: 8.0S / 83.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS CLEARLY DISORGANIZED DURING THE AFTERNOON SUFFERING FROM MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EQUATORWARDS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS INTENSIFYING SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.