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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 120600
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/10/2005 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/10/2005 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1005 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.5S / 87.2E
(FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS TO THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS TO THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/10/12 AT 18 UTC:
5.8S / 86.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/10/13 AT 06 UTC:
6.1S / 86.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT ENTIRELY FAVOURABLE FOR THE SYSTEM ; SYSTEM #2 IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY.