Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/10/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/10/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.2S / 86.6E (FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS TO THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS TO THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/10/13 AT 00 UTC: 5.4S / 86.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/10/13 AT 12 UTC: 5.8S / 85.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT ENTIRELY FAVOURABLE FOR THE SYSTEM , IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS. FOR THE MOMENT, THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT REQUIRE REGULAR ADVISORY ISSUANCE.