Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 130600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/10/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/10/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.5S / 86.2E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/10/13 AT 18 UTC: 7.3S / 85.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/10/14 AT 06 UTC: 8.2S / 84.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENT IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES, WITHOUT SIGNIFICANTLY DEEPENING. SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.