Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 140000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/10/2005 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 14/10/2005 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.5S / 83.5E (NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT OR EVEN GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/10/14 AT 12 UTC: 11.0S / 82.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/10/15 AT 00 UTC: 12.5S / 81.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON THE CLASSICAL IMAGERY. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM EXISTS CLOSE TO THE ESTIMATED CENTRE BUT STILL CYCLES A LOT. WINDS ARE STRONGER IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES.