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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 141200
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/10/2005 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 007/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 14/10/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 998 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S / 81.9E
(ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 55 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/10/15 AT 00 UTC:
12.3S / 80.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/10/15 AT 12 UTC:
13.5S / 79.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC SO IT WOULD RE-INTENSIFY DURING NEXT NIGHT.
WINDS REPARTITION ISN'T SYMETRIC AND WINDS ARE STRONGER IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE SYSTEM.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES.