Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 150000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/10/2005 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 9/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/10/2005 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 80.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 230 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 65 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 330 NM IN THE SOUTEASTERN QUADRANT, LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/10/15 AT 12 UTC: 14.1S / 79.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/10/16 AT 00 UTC: 14.8S / 78.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DEEP CONVECTION IS LESS ORGANIZED DURING LAST FEW HOURS. WINDS REPARTITION ISN'T SYMETRIC AND WINDS ARE STRONGER IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITHOUT INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AND THEN RECURVE WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES RE-BUILDING BY THE SOUTHWEST. IT SHOULD ALSO DISSIPATE IN A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.