Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 150600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/10/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/10/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 81.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTEASTERN QUADRANT, LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/10/15 AT 18 UTC: 14.2S / 80.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/10/16 AT 06 UTC: 14.6S / 78.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: **** CORRECTED MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE **** ENVIRONMENT IS LESS FAVOURABLE FOR SYSTEM NR 2, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WEAKENED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. NEVERTHELESS, LOWER LAYER CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH STRONG WINDS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. SYSTEM NR 2 IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BEFORE TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, DISSIPATING GRADUALLY.