Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 151200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/10/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 011/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/10/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.7S / 80.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTEASTERN QUADRANT, LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/10/16 AT 00 UTC: 14.3S / 79.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/10/16 AT 12 UTC: 14.5S / 78.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM NR 2 WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY. NEVERTHELESS, LOWER LAYER CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH STRONG WINDS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. SYSTEM NR 2 IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MAILY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, DISSIPATING GRADUALLY.