Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 070000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/11/2005 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 07/11/2005 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.8S / 89.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT UNDER DEEP CONVECTION.. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 12 UTC: 12.6S / 87.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 00 UTC: 13.3S / 86.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY CROSSED 90E AND QUIT AUSTRALIAN AREA TO ENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN INDIAN OCEAN. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME FAVORABLE AND SYSTEM IS EXPECTED PROGRESSIVELY INTENSIFYING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEN, ITS QUICKLY SOUTHWESTWARDS TRACK WOULD SHIP IT OVER AREA WITH COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE UNFAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 60 TO 72 HOURS.