Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 241800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/11/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 24/11/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 5 (ALVIN EX-BERTIE) 945 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 89.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEATERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 210 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 60/85 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANTS AND UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/25 AT 06 UTC: 14.8S / 89.0E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2005/11/25 AT 18 UTC: 14.8S / 88.2E, MAX WIND = 65 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ALVIN SEEMS TO HAVE RECURVED ITS TRACK WESTWARDS ET HAS WEAKENED DURING THE RECENT PAST HOURS (EYE CAN'T BE SEEN ON THE RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY). IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT HOURS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM SHOULD THEN SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AS THE ENVIRONMENT BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE.