Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 271200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 020/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 27/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5 (EX-ALVIN) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 83.9E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 280 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 65 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 50NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/28 AT 00 UTC: 12.6S / 82.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPRESSION TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2005/11/28 AT 12 UTC: 12.1S / 80.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPRESSION TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS STILL WELL ORGANIZED AND CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY STARTED OVER AROUND THE CENTRE DURING LAST NIGHT AND IS YET MAINLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS WITHOUT INTENSIFYING SIGNIFICANTLY AT SHORT RANGE THEN TO FILL UP AND TO DISSIPATE AT MEDIUM RANGE.