Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 251800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/12/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 012/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 25/12/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.7S / 76.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 MN IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHING 25/30 KT UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/12/26 AT 06 UTC: 14.5S / 74.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2005/12/26 AT 18 UTC: 15.4S / 71.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS. LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS LESS AND LESS CIRCULAR AND LOCATION OF THE CENTRE IS UNCERTAIN. STRONGER WINDS EXIST FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.