Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 270600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 15/6 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 27/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.3S / 69.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/12/27 AT 18 UTC: 16.1S / 66.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2005/12/28 AT 06 UTC: 16.4S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: UNDERGOING A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMETAL CONDITIONS, DEEP CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED DURING LAST NIGHT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITHOUT INTENSIFYING SIGNIFICANTLY. INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.