Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 040000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/01/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 04/01/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 7 1004 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S / 37.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP LOCALLY TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, LOCALLY REACHING 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN QUADRANTS DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/01/04 AT 12 UTC: 23.4S / 35.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2006/01/05 AT 00 UTC: 24.4S / 34.5E, DEPR. SUR TERRE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SIGNIFICANT STORMY ACTIVITY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE MOZAMBICAN COASTLINE IN THE VICINITY OF THE CITY OF INHAMBANE WITHIN 12 TO 15 HOURS. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CAN CAUSE LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WITHIN A 300 KM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.