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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO24 FMEE 040600 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/01/2006 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 04/01/2006 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 7 1003 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.3S / 36.3E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP LOCALLY TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, LOCALLY REACHING 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN QUADRANTS DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/01/04 AT 18 UTC:
23.2S / 34.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DEPR. SUR TERRE.
24H, VALID 2006/01/05 AT 06 UTC:
DISSIPATED.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SIGNIFICANT STORMY ACTIVITY OVER SEA, WHICH BEGIN TO FALL OVER LAND.
THE CENTRE OF THE SYSTEM, BADLY DEFINED, IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE MOZAMBICAN COASTLINE IN THE VICINITY OF THE CITY OF INHAMBANE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CAN CAUSE LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WITHIN A 300 KM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.