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WTIO24 FMEE 041800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/01/2006 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 005/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 04/01/2006 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 7 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.3S / 35.3E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ALONG MOZAMBIQUE COASTS, BETWEEN 21S AND 26S, AND UP TO 39E, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE ESTIMATED CENTRE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/01/05 AT 06 UTC:
22.9S / 34.4E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DEPR. SUR TERRE.
24H, VALID 2006/01/05 AT 18 UTC:
24.0S / 33.5E, DEPR. SE COMBLANT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYTEM HAS MADE A LANDFALL IN THE SOUTHERN VICINITY OF VILANCULOS, LIKELY AROUND 1500Z.
IT SHOULD WEAKEN OVER LAND, BUT GENERATE HEAVY RAINFALLS, WITH STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.