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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO24 FMEE 051200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 008/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 05/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 7 1003 HPA
POSITION: 24.6S / 34.5E
(TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ALONG MOZAMBIQUE COASTS, BETWEEN 22S AND 27S, AND UP TO 39E, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE ESTIMATED CENTRE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/01/06 AT 00 UTC:
25.8S / 34.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE.
24H, VALID 2006/01/06 AT 12 UTC:
26.9S / 33.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CENTRE IS OVERLAND BUT THE SYSTEM TRACKS NOW SOUTHWARDS ALONG THE COAST AND GENERATE STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST. IT IS EXPECTED TO BE ONCE MORE OVER SEA IN THE VERY NEXT HOURS.
ASSOCIATED CLUSTERS, MAINLY LOCATED OVER SEA, GENERATE HEAVY RAINFALLS, WITH STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.