Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 061200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 012/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 06/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 7 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.4S / 33.3E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 270 IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ALONG MOZAMBIQUE COASTS, REACHING LOCALLY 30KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/01/07 AT 00 UTC: 26.1S / 33.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/01/07 AT 12 UTC: 27.2S / 32.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DEPR. SUR TERRE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR THE MOZAMBICAL COASTLINE AND SEEMS TO BE BACK OVER SEA BETWEEN INHAMBANE AND MAPUTO , BUT THE SYSTEM SHOULD NOT RE-INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARDS. ASSOCIATED CLUSTERS, MAINLY LOCATED OVER SEA BUT ALSO OVER LAND OVER THE ALL SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE THEN OVER SWAZILAND, GENERATE HEAVY RAINFALLS, WITH STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.