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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO24 FMEE 061800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/01/2006 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 013/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 06/01/2006 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 7 1002 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.2S / 32.8E
(TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 250 IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ALONG MOZAMBIQUE COASTS, REACHING LOCALLY 30KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/01/07 AT 06 UTC:
26.1S / 32.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DEPR. SUR TERRE.
24H, VALID 2006/01/07 AT 18 UTC:
27.2S / 32.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DEPR. SUR TERRE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS RELOCATED OVER LAND, BUT VERY CLOSE THE MOZAMBICAL COASTLINE. IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS THEN SOUTHWARDS ALWAYS OVER LAND, COMING BACK OVER SEAS ONLY UP TO 24 HOURS SOUTH TO 28S.

ASSOCIATED CLUSTERS, MAINLY LOCATED OVER SEA BUT ALSO OVER LAND OVER EAST OF ZIMBABWE, THE ALL SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE THEN OVER SWAZILAND, GENERATE HEAVY RAINFALLS, WITH STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.