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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 241200 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 24/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1006 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S / 52.2E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 260 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/01/25 AT 00 UTC:
19.6S / 51.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE.
24H, VALID 2006/01/25 AT 12 UTC:
21.0S / 49.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT HOURS AND TO DRAW NEARER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COASTLINES OF MADAGASCAR WITHOUT INTENSIFYING SIGNIFICANTLY.

AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEME DOESN'T JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.