Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 280000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 28/01/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.3S / 50.4E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 125 NM FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/01/28 AT 12 UTC: 21.0S / 49.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2006/01/29 AT 00 UTC: 22.0S / 48.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON THE IR IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO HAVE TRACKED NORTHWESTWARDS OVER THE LASTHOURS. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS VERY FLUCTUATING. STRONGER WINDS EXIST IN THE SOUTHWEST OF THE WYSTEM, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BUILDING IN THE SOUTHWEST. TRACKING ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THESE HIGH PRESSURES, THE SYSTEM ONLY SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS, TOWARDS THE NEXT TROUGH.