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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO24 FMEE 281200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 018/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 28/01/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 1002 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.3S / 49.2E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/01/29 AT 00 UTC:
21.6S / 48.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DEPR. SUR TERRE.
24H, VALID 2006/01/29 AT 12 UTC:
22.2S / 47.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS GETTING GRADUALLY DISORGANIZED. IT IS NOW TRACKING SLOWLY WESTWARDS, IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH MALGASY COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, IN THE VICINITY OF MANANJARY.