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WTIO24 FMEE 011200
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 026/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 8 (BOLOETSE) 995 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.1S / 38.1E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN PART, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, IE ALL OVER THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 35 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/02/02 AT 00 UTC:
18.9S / 37.8E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE.
24H, VALID 2006/02/02 AT 12 UTC:
18.9S / 37.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM AS BEEN RE-ANALYSED AT A LIGHLY WEAKER INTENSITY ACCORDING TO LAST DATA . DEEP CONVECTION HARDLY ORGANIZES EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, OARTIALLY EXPOSED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.
IT SHOULD REMAIN ALMOSTATIONNARY WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS, INTENSYING SLOWLY, THEN CURVE SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION BEYOND.