Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 041200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 038/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 8 (BOLOETSE) 954 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.1S / 43.9E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 170 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 55 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 65 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 65 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 140 NM THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 270 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE MALAGASY COASTLINE EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/05 AT 00 UTC: 26.9S / 45.3E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/02/05 AT 12 UTC: 29.5S / 46.8E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BOLOETSE HAS PROBABLY REACHED ITS MAXIMUM OF INTENSITY LAST NIGHT. SINCE THIS MORNING, SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO A LESS ANS LESS FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CROSS AT THIS TIME AT ABOUT 20 KM WITHIN THE MALAGASY COASTLINE NEAR ANDROKA AREA WHICH COULD BE CONCERN WITH THE MAXIMUM WINDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS ACCELERATING PROGRESSIVELY AND TO EVACUATE IN THE EXTRA-TROPICAL AREA.