Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 041800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 039/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 8 (BOLOETSE) 955 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.9S / 44.7E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 270 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/05 AT 06 UTC: 28.4S / 46.4E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/02/05 AT 18 UTC: 31.4S / 48.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO A LESS ANS LESS FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM IS GOING ON SHEARING WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF CONVECTION. LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS GOING TO GO AWAY THE SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS ACCELERATING PROGRESSIVELY AND TO EVACUATE IN THE EXTRA-TROPICAL AREA.