Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 260600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/02/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 26/02/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (CARINA) 972 HPA POSITION: 13.1S / 79.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/26 AT 18 UTC: 13.4S / 78.9E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/02/27 AT 06 UTC: 13.9S / 78.1E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CARINA HAS ALWAYS DIFFICULTIES TO ORGANIZE ITSELF, SHOWING DURING LAST HOURS BANDING EYE PATTERN. IT HAS SLOWN DOWN WITH A MORE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION DURING THE NIGHT. IT COULD GO ON ON THAT WAY ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURES BUILDING TO THE SOUTHWEST, WITHOUT TRACKING TOWARD THE TROUGH TO WEAK AND TO FAR WHICH TRANSITING TO THE SOUTH.