Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 270000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/02/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 27/02/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (CARINA) 955 HPA POSITION: 14.5S / 79.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/27 AT 12 UTC: 15.2S / 79.3E, MAX WIND = 85 KT, CYCLONE TROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/02/28 AT 00 UTC: 15.8S / 78.5E, MAX WIND = 90 KT, CYCL. TROP. INTENSE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CARINA IS INTENSIFYING AND MOVING SLOWLY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS, THEN BEYOND 24 HOURS, WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BUILDING IN THE SOUTH AND ACCELERATE. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.