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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 281800
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 024/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 28/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (CARINA) 915 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.8S / 78.0E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/03/01 AT 06 UTC:
17.2S / 77.2E, MAX WIND = 105 KT, CYCL. TROP. INTENSE.
24H, VALID 2006/03/01 AT 18 UTC:
17.6S / 76.3E, MAX WIND = 100 KT, CYCL. TROP. INTENSE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
"CARINA" INTENSITY HAS STABILIZED FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS ; THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO START WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS, STILL TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS.