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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 010000
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 025/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (CARINA) 920 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.9S / 77.9E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/03/01 AT 12 UTC:
17.1S / 77.6E, MAX WIND = 100 KT, CYCL. TROP. INTENSE.
24H, VALID 2006/03/02 AT 00 UTC:
17.5S / 76.7E, MAX WIND = 90 KT, CYCL. TROP. INTENSE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS, "CARINA" REMAINED QUASI-STATIONNARY. BUT THE SOUTHWESTWARDS TRACK IS EXPECTED TO SET AGAIN AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS GRADUALLY.