Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 021200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 031/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 02/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (CARINA) 980 HPA POSITION: 19.5S / 77.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 10 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/03 AT 00 UTC: 19.3S / 75.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/03 AT 12 UTC: 19.0S / 74.3E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING IN A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. ON THE LAST ANIMATED IMAGERY, THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO TURN AND TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD THEN TRACK WESTWARDS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BUILDING IN THE SOUTH.