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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 030600
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 034/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (CARINA) 997 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.9S / 78.7E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: NORTH-EAST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/03/03 AT 18 UTC:
18.0S / 78.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE.
24H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 06 UTC:
16.8S / 78.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CARINA KEEPS ON WEAKENING, THE MAIN ACTIVITY IS LOCATED IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. THE LOW LEVEL REMNANT CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARDS UNDERGOING THE STEERING OF THE BUILDING RIDGE WEST OF THE SYSTEM.