Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 031200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 035/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 (EX-CARINA) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 78.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 00 UTC: 18.3S / 79.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 12 UTC: 16.0S / 77.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-CARINA" KEEPS ON WEAKENING, MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT. THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARDS. FINAL WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION.