Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 021800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 02/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 57.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/03 AT 06 UTC: 14.2S / 57.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/03 AT 18 UTC: 15.0S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURES BETWEEN 45E AND 65E, AND FROM 08S TO 15S IN WHICH A SECOND LOW CAN BE DETECTED, NORTH OF MADAGASCAR NEAR 11.5S/51.5E. CONVECTION BARELY ORGANIZES CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE TO DEVELOPMENT.