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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO22 FMEE 041200
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 010/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA
POSITION: 18.5S / 54.6E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30 KT NEAR THE CENTER, BUT REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT WITHIN 260 NM OF THE CENTRE, AND RACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT WITHIN 2500 NM OF THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 00 UTC:
19.0S / 53.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE.
24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 12 UTC:
20.0S / 51.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED NORTH-WEST OF THE CONVECTION, UNDER A NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR CONSTRAINT.
THE SYSTEM REMAINS OF WEAK INTENSITY, BUT WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UNDER CONVECTION AND WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM.
THE TRACK IS NOW WEST SOUTH-WESTWARDS.
THE SYSYTEM IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO MORE FAVOURABLE CONDITIONS WITH THE WEAKENING OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO THE WEAKENING OF THE MINIMUM IN THE NORTH AND ALSO THE WEAKENING OF THE TROUGH IN THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM UP TO 24 HOURS.