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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 151200
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 015/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (ELIA) 994 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.6S / 85.2E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 120NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/04/16 AT 00 UTC:
16.3S / 84.3E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2006/04/16 AT 12 UTC:
16.9S / 83.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DISSIPATING.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO AN INCREASING NORTHWESTWARD VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND IT SHOULD DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE LLCC IS EXPOSED NORTHWEST OF DEEP CONVECTION.