Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 191200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 19/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 2.8S / 59.5E (TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 00 UTC: 3.1S / 60.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/10/20 AT 12 UTC: 3.4S / 60.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM ARE NOT ORGANIZED AND ARE SPATIALLY VERY FLUCTUATING. STRONGER WINDS EXTEND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.