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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 201200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 20/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1004 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 3.6S / 60.6E
(THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 40 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/10/21 AT 00 UTC:
4.4S / 60.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2006/10/21 AT 12 UTC:
5.5S / 60.4E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CLUSTERS ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM ARE NOT ORGANIZED AND ARE SPATIALLY VERY FLUCTUATING, ACTUALLY LOCATED FAR FROM THE LOW.

THIS SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN AT A WEAK INTENSITY DURING NEXT DAYS, TRACKING AROUND SEYCHELLES ISLANDS.

THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THAT SYSTEM, UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.