Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 210600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/10/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 21/10/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.3S / 58.2E (SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND 600NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/10/21 AT 18 UTC: 7.1S / 57.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/10/22 AT 06 UTC: 8.0S / 55.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO SYSTEM 01 REMAINS VERY FLUCTUATING AND CYCLIC WITH AN ENHANCED ACTIVITY DURING NIGHTTIME. THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH OF SEYCHELLES ISLANDS. THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.