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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 221200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 005/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 22/10/2006 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1002 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.7S / 54.6E
(NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/10/23 AT 00 UTC:
9.8S / 52.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2006/10/23 AT 12 UTC:
9.8S / 50.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, ENHANCED BY A GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, IS CONCENTRATING AND WRAPING AROUND THE CENTRE.
THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING.