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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 221800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/10/2006 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 22/10/2006 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1003 HPA
POSITION: 10.3S / 53.3E
(TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 450 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/10/23 AT 06 UTC:
10.2S / 52.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2006/10/23 AT 18 UTC:
10.2S / 50.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, ENHANCED BY A GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, REMAINS FLUCTUATING .