Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 230000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/10/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 23/10/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1004 HPA POSITION: 9.7S / 53.0E (NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 300NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/10/23 AT 12 UTC: 9.5S / 50.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/10/24 AT 00 UTC: 9.0S / 48.7E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, ENHANCED BY A GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, REMAINS FLUCTUATING, UNDERGOING NOW A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR . THE SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNING.