Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 271200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/11/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 27/11/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.7S / 46.7E (SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN, WESTERN, AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25 KT OR EVEN 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/11/28 AT 00 UTC: 8.4S / 45.7E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/11/28 AT 12 UTC: 9.1S / 44.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION BARELY ORGANIZES AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS RATHER FLUCTUATING. NEVERTHELESS, CONVECTION REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THIS ZONE OFTHIS, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO COMOROS AND AFRICAN COASTLINE. RELOCATED CENTRE 0.5 DEGREE EASTWARDS AT 0000Z. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.