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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 280000 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 28/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1003 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.8S / 45.8E
(EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/11/28 AT 12 UTC:
9.5S / 44.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2006/11/29 AT 00 UTC:
9.6S / 43.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION BARELY ORGANIZES AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS RATHER FLUCTUATING. NEVERTHELESS, CONVECTION REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THIS ZONE OF THIS, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO COMOROS AND AFRICAN COASTLINE.

THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.