Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 280600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/11/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 4/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 28/11/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S / 45.6E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALY 30KT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/11/28 AT 18 UTC: 9.5S / 44.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2006/11/29 AT 06 UTC: 9.7S / 43.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION BARELY ORGANIZES. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION LOOKS BETTER ORGANIZED, BUT SYSTEME ALWAYS SHOWS A SHEAR PATTERN. THE EASTERLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE MODERATE AND ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. CONVECTION REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY NORTH TO 15S, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO COMOROS AND AFRICAN COASTLINE.