Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 281800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/11/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 28/11/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.1S / 42.3E (NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALY 30KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/11/29 AT 06 UTC: 9.5S / 40.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/11/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 39.3E, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTER RELOCATED AT 1200Z ONE DEGREE IN THE NORTHEAST. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK. ASSOCIATED DISORGANIZED CONVECTION REMAINS VERY FLUCTUATING, AND UNDERGOES DIURNAL CYCLE. THUNDERY ACTIVITY REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM, NORTH OF 15S, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO AFRICAN COASTLINE VIA COMOROS ARCHIPELAGO.