Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 290000 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 29/11/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.6S / 42.0E (NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALY 30KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/11/29 AT 12 UTC: 9.8S / 41.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2006/11/30 AT 00 UTC: 10.2S / 40.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK. MANY CENTERS SEEM TO CO-EXIST: MAIN CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. ASSOCIATED DISORGANIZED CONVECTION REMAINS VERY FLUCTUATING, AND UNDERGOES DIURNAL CYCLE. THUNDERY ACTIVITY REMAINS SIGNIFICANT IN THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM, NORTH OF 15S, FROM NORTHERN MADAGASCAR TO AFRICAN COASTLINE VIA COMOROS ARCHIPELAGO.