Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 291200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/11/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 9/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 29/11/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 41.8E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANTS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALY 30KT MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/11/30 AT 00 UTC: 10.9S / 41.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2006/11/30 AT 12 UTC: 11.5S / 41.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTIVE (THUNDERY) ACTIVITY IS IMPORTANT, GENERATING HEAVY RAINS ON THE NORTH OF MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, FROM THE COMOROS ARCHIPELAGO TO AFRICAN COASTS. IN LOW LEVEL, CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS RATHER WEAK. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER SEEMS TO HAVE SLOWN DOWN AND CURVED SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARDS, BUT THIS TENDANCY HAVE TO WAIT NEXT NIGHT TO BE CONFIRMED.